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There are serious skeptics. Like you say nobody really disagrees with 1) humans release more c02 and 2) more c02 = warming via greenhouse.

But that isn't the entire global warming theory.

There are many feedback effects that occur. Like warming -> melting ice -> water vapor from condensation -> water vapor is a greenhouse gas -> more heat

But there are negative feedback effects too. Like warming -> melting ice -> less reflection of sun -> less heat

So many people are pushing theories with high feedback multiples. Some people are pushing theories with high negative feedback.

Depending on how you model the feedbacks--Climate change can either be a small issue with a degrees or two warming or a mass extinction event with 5 degree C warming.

The problem is it is very hard to test the models.



Other factors don't contribute much. It's real, it's human made and dangerous:

http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2015-whats-warming-the-wor...

The state of CO2: now around 400 ppm, 20 years ago was 350 ppm, and that was already more than during the last 800 thousand years, and now it's increasing unbelievably faster:

http://assets.climatecentral.org/images/uploads/news/11_19_1...

(based on http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/ice_core_co2.html )

http://assets.climatecentral.org/images/uploads/news/11_19_1...


If 5 degrees is a mass extinction event (I'm just using your numbers here, not positing them as facts of my own), how can you characterize 1-2 degrees (20-40% of your mass extinction event number) as a "small" issue?

As an "engineer" (note: software engineer, not a real engineer), I'd prefer to leave as much wiggle room as we can possibly muster on the spectrum of activities heading us towards "mass extinction event".


Actually "warming -> melting ice -> less reflection of sun -> less heat" would go other way around. If you have light surface it's likely that lot's of visible light is radiated to space. If you have blue sea instead it's likely it radiates only infra red. Which would be bad with elevated CO2 levels.

The most believable negative feedback I have seen is about increased cloud coverage. Clouds should then reflect visible light back to space. At the same time water vapor is the most significant greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. We really don't know how it's going to turn out.




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